COVID-19 Health Metrics

FCPS will be sharing daily updates regarding COVID-19 cases

All FCPS schools and centers are closed for students from June 14 through June 28. FCPS' COVID dashboard will resume operations on June 28 when summer programming begins.

VDH Outbreak Dashboard

The K-12 Schools Reporting Outbreaks of COVID-19 publishes data related to the outbreak of COVID-19 in public and private K-12 schools in the Commonwealth. The outbreak data lists those schools and localities in which an outbreak has occurred among students or staff. An outbreak is defined in this dashboard as “the identification of two or more laboratory-confirmed cases of illness that are epidemiologically linked by person, place, and time.” The outbreak data also notes the status of the outbreak, and whether it is in progress, pending closure, or closed. Outbreak-associated case counts and deaths will be suppressed if there are fewer than 5 cases or between 0 and 5 deaths to protect anonymity. Additional information about outbreaks in Virginia is available

 

FCPS COVID-19 Case Dashboard

Updated FCPS In-Person Learning Decision-Making Model

The In-Person Learning Decision Making model was developed in partnership with the Fairfax County Health Department (FCHD) and was revised based on the January 14, 2021 Interim Guidance for Reopening Pre-K-12 issued by the Virginia Department of Education (VDOE) and Virginia Department of Health (VDH). The purpose of the model is to determine when an individual school would need to transition all of their students or the majority of their students back to virtual instruction. The model looks at the intersection of two factors to determine when an individual school must close: the level of community transmission and the level of school impact.

The In-Person Decision Making Model was presented to the School Board on February 2, 2021 and may be reviewed in its entirety.

Level of Community Transmission

The level of community transmission is determined by two factors: the number of new infections per 100.000 population over the prior 14 days and the COVID-19 PCR test positivity rate as a 14-day average. Based on the data, the two community transmission metrics are then individually categorized as either: low/lower/moderate, higher, or highest. It is important to note that community transmission data is reported at the county level by the Virginia Department of Health (VDH) so the same community transmission rates will be applied to all schools in FCPS on any given day (see chart below).

If the two community transmission data points fall into different categories, the higher of the two ratings is used to determine the overall level of community transmission.

Criteria

Lowest / Lower / Moderate

Higher Highest

Number of new infections per 100,000 population over prior 14 days. (1st CDC Core Indicator)

Less than 50

50 - 200 Greater than 200

COVID-19 PCR test positivity as a 14-day average. (2nd CDC Core Indicator)

Less than 8% 8 - 10% Greater than10%

Level of School Impact

The level of school impact is determined by two factors:

  • Transmission of COVID-19 Within the Schools accounts for the number of cases of COVID-19 that are passed from one person to another within the school setting, this is reported by the number of outbreaks. The level of transmission in school is categorized as either low, medium or high (see chart below).
  • Staff capacity is the ability for a school to maintain adequate staff for teaching, facility operations, transportation and administrative functions. When there are higher numbers of staff unable to report to work due to COVID-19 symptoms or they have been directed to quarantine if they are identified as a close contact through contact tracing, schools may be unable to offer in-person instruction. Staffing capacity is categorized as normal, strained, or critical (see chart below).

If the transmission within schools and staff capacity rating fall into different categories, the higher of the two ratings is used to determine the overall level of school impact.

Criteria

Low

Medium High

Transmission within School

Zero or sporadic cases with no evidence of transmission in school*

Two outbreaks within a short time period (14 days) or sporadic outbreaks** in school. Size of outbreaks remains small.

Several outbreaks in school within short time period (14 days); size of outbreaks is large or scope of outbreaks* is significant (e.g. multiple classrooms or grade levels are impacted)

Staff Capacity†

Normal Strained Critical

 

* Schools default to the low category unless they explicitly meet the definition for “medium” or “high” impact.

** Two or more laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases among students or staff with onsets within a 14-day period, who are epidemiologically linked, do not share a household, and were not identified as close contacts of each other in another setting during standard case investigation or contact tracing.

† This assessment should factor in a school’s ability to maintain adequate staff for facility operations,  transportation, teaching, and administrative functions.

Decision Matrix for Transitioning Between Virtual and In-Person Learning by School and Student Group

Once the level of community transmission and the level of school impact are established, the intersection of these two ratings is used to determine if an individual school will need to transition students to virtual instruction (see chart below).

 Level of School Impact

Level of Community Transmission is Lowest / Lower / Moderate

Level of Community Transmission is Higher

Level of Community Transmission is Highest

Low

Maximum in-person learning.**

Maximum in-person learning.**

Priority learners*  in-person. Add groups as  capacity allows.

Medium 

Maximum in-person learning.**

Priority learners* in-person. 

Add groups as capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be in school.

High

Priority learners*  in-person. Add groups as capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be

 in school.

Temporary, remote  instruction may be prudent for all.

*Priority learners: Students for whom in-person instruction is most critical includes but may not be limited to those who are early learners, students with disabilities and English learners. It is generally thought that these groups are the most disproportionately impacted by the negative impacts of a lack of in-person instruction. FCPS Groups 1-6.

**Maximum In-Person: In-person instruction offered for all students; however, physical distancing measures should be implemented.

Decision-Making Example 1: 

When the level of the community transmission is highest, but the level of school impact is low, a school will follow the FCPS timeline for returning students to in-person learning.

 

Level of Community Transmission

Lowest / Lower / Moderate
Higher
Highest

 Level of School Impact

Low

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

Priority learners*

in-person. Add groups as

capacity allows.

Medium

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

Priority learners* in-person. 

Add groups as capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be in school.

High

 Priority learners*

 in-person. Add groups as 

 capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be

 in school.

 Temporary, remote

 instruction may be prudent  

 for all.

 

Decision-Making Example 2:

When level of community transmission is highest and the school impact is medium, a school would continue to provide in-person instruction to priority students in groups 1-6

 

 

Level of Community Transmission

Lowest / Lower / Moderate
Higher
Highest

 Level of School Impact

Low

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

Priority learners*

in-person. Add groups as

capacity allows.

Medium

 Maximum in-person  

 learning.**

Priority learners* in-person. 

Add groups as capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be in school.

High

 Priority learners*

 in-person. Add groups as 

 capacity allows.

Priority learners* should be

 in school.

 Temporary, remote

 instruction may be prudent  

 for all.